Page 10 - Driving Force for Energy Demand
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ving Forces for Energy Demand 2010

include growth in business activity, with its associated energy use, in areas such
as retail and wholesale trade and business, financial services, and leisure services
(EIA, 2009). In the non-OECD nations, economic activity and commerce are
expected to increase rapidly, fuelling additional demand for energy in the service
sectors. Population growth is also expected to be more rapid than in the OECD
countries, which mean increases in the need for education, health care, and
social services and the energy required to provide them. The energy needed to
fuel growth in commercial buildings will be substantial, with total delivered
commercial energy use among the non-OECD nations projected to grow by 2.7
percent per year from 2006 to 2030 (EIA, 2009).

2.1.2 Transportation Demand
Energy use in the transportation sector includes the energy consumed in moving
people and goods by road, rail, air, water, and pipeline. The road transport
component includes light-duty vehicles, such as automobiles, sport utility
vehicles, minivans, small trucks, and motorbikes, as well as heavy-duty vehicles,
such as large trucks used for moving freight and buses for passenger travel.

2-8 Growth in Vehicle Ownership

(ExxonMobil, 2009)
Growth rates for economic activity and population are the key factors for

transportation sector energy demand. Economic growth spurs increases in

industrial output, which requires the movement of raw materials to

manufacturing sites, as well as the movement of manufactured goods to end

users (EIA, 2009). For both the non-OECD and OECD economies, steadily

increasing demand for personal travel, as related to vehicle ownership and

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