Page 11 - Driving Force for Energy Demand
P. 11
ving Forces for Energy Demand 2010

distance travelled is a primary factor underlying expected increases in energy
demand for transportation. As with energy use in buildings, there is an expected
continuous year-on-year growth in the energy demanded for transportation
usage. There are expectations for massive growth as the developing world starts
to acquire cars and drive them over further distances. 2-8 shows the massive
growth of vehicle ownership that can be expected if the Chinese are to own cars
on the same level as Europeans and Americans. Also, as shown in Graph 2-9 the
distance the ever growing number of vehicles can be expected to be driven is
increasing (Barrett, Lowea, Oreszczyna, & Steadmana, 2008).

2-9 Total distances traveled by car, bus, Changes in patterns of passenger
train and aircraft, in various regions of travel are partly a consequence of
the world growing wealth. As GDP per capita

increases, people tend to migrate

towards faster, more flexible and

more expensive travel modes. With

faster modes, people also tend to

travel further. There is also a strong

correlation between GDP growth and

increase in freight transport. More

economic activity will mean more

(Barrett, Lowea, Oreszczyna, & Steadmana, transport of raw materials,

2008) intermediary products and final

consumer goods (Krewitt, et al., 2008). In India, motorization is still low but car

ownership is increasing fast as GDP increases. Car ownership per capita

increased at annual average rate of 25% between 1975 and 1980, at 13%

between 1980 and 1990 and at 7.4% between 1990 and 2002. Energy

consumption in the transport sector currently represents a small share of the

total energy consumption in India (15%). However, motorized vehicle ownership

is increasing very rapidly as well as the need to transport goods across the

country. (Can, Letschert, McNeil, Zhou, & Sathaye, 2009).

Posted by Etree Project Consultants Pvt Ltd only for knowledge sharing purpose. Page 11
   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16