Page 11 - Driving Force for Energy Demand
P. 11
ving Forces for Energy Demand 2010
distance travelled is a primary factor underlying expected increases in energy
demand for transportation. As with energy use in buildings, there is an expected
continuous year-on-year growth in the energy demanded for transportation
usage. There are expectations for massive growth as the developing world starts
to acquire cars and drive them over further distances. 2-8 shows the massive
growth of vehicle ownership that can be expected if the Chinese are to own cars
on the same level as Europeans and Americans. Also, as shown in Graph 2-9 the
distance the ever growing number of vehicles can be expected to be driven is
increasing (Barrett, Lowea, Oreszczyna, & Steadmana, 2008).
2-9 Total distances traveled by car, bus, Changes in patterns of passenger
train and aircraft, in various regions of travel are partly a consequence of
the world growing wealth. As GDP per capita
increases, people tend to migrate
towards faster, more flexible and
more expensive travel modes. With
faster modes, people also tend to
travel further. There is also a strong
correlation between GDP growth and
increase in freight transport. More
economic activity will mean more
(Barrett, Lowea, Oreszczyna, & Steadmana, transport of raw materials,
2008) intermediary products and final
consumer goods (Krewitt, et al., 2008). In India, motorization is still low but car
ownership is increasing fast as GDP increases. Car ownership per capita
increased at annual average rate of 25% between 1975 and 1980, at 13%
between 1980 and 1990 and at 7.4% between 1990 and 2002. Energy
consumption in the transport sector currently represents a small share of the
total energy consumption in India (15%). However, motorized vehicle ownership
is increasing very rapidly as well as the need to transport goods across the
country. (Can, Letschert, McNeil, Zhou, & Sathaye, 2009).
Posted by Etree Project Consultants Pvt Ltd only for knowledge sharing purpose. Page 11
distance travelled is a primary factor underlying expected increases in energy
demand for transportation. As with energy use in buildings, there is an expected
continuous year-on-year growth in the energy demanded for transportation
usage. There are expectations for massive growth as the developing world starts
to acquire cars and drive them over further distances. 2-8 shows the massive
growth of vehicle ownership that can be expected if the Chinese are to own cars
on the same level as Europeans and Americans. Also, as shown in Graph 2-9 the
distance the ever growing number of vehicles can be expected to be driven is
increasing (Barrett, Lowea, Oreszczyna, & Steadmana, 2008).
2-9 Total distances traveled by car, bus, Changes in patterns of passenger
train and aircraft, in various regions of travel are partly a consequence of
the world growing wealth. As GDP per capita
increases, people tend to migrate
towards faster, more flexible and
more expensive travel modes. With
faster modes, people also tend to
travel further. There is also a strong
correlation between GDP growth and
increase in freight transport. More
economic activity will mean more
(Barrett, Lowea, Oreszczyna, & Steadmana, transport of raw materials,
2008) intermediary products and final
consumer goods (Krewitt, et al., 2008). In India, motorization is still low but car
ownership is increasing fast as GDP increases. Car ownership per capita
increased at annual average rate of 25% between 1975 and 1980, at 13%
between 1980 and 1990 and at 7.4% between 1990 and 2002. Energy
consumption in the transport sector currently represents a small share of the
total energy consumption in India (15%). However, motorized vehicle ownership
is increasing very rapidly as well as the need to transport goods across the
country. (Can, Letschert, McNeil, Zhou, & Sathaye, 2009).
Posted by Etree Project Consultants Pvt Ltd only for knowledge sharing purpose. Page 11